November 13, 2020
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 127 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Sean Strickland's 8-fight experience advantage (12 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sean Strickland for the expected result. Had Brendan Allen pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 046 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:32 | 1:32 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 200 | 1 345 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +79 |
Sean Strickland gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 94 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 161 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 106 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 117 | 1 321 |
| ELO Change | -102 | +102 |
Sean Strickland dominated the striking exchanges with 106 vs 53 total strikes, 94 vs 51 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Sean Strickland capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 151 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Sean Strickland slightly outworked Brendan Allen on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:34 of control time, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 14 |
| Activity ELO | 1 104 | 1 311 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +117 |
Sean Strickland demonstrated exceptional activity with 14 days since his last fight, earning a high activity bonus for the rapid turnaround. As the winner, Sean Strickland capitalized on this activity level, while Brendan Allen's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 061 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +24 |
Sean Strickland extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brendan Allen is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 046 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.