February 28, 2020
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 137 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -36 |
Brendan Allen overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tom Breese.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 047 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:47 | 4:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 221 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | +137 | -64 |
Brendan Allen earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:47, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 191 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | +163 | -163 |
Brendan Allen controlled the striking exchanges with 38 vs 5 total strikes, 20 vs 4 significant strikes, 69.0% vs 80.0% accuracy. Brendan Allen capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:14 | 0:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 163 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Brendan Allen controlled Tom Breese on the ground with 4:14 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 135 | 644 |
| Activity ELO | 1 080 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -26 |
Brendan Allen demonstrated solid activity levels with 135 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brendan Allen capitalized on this activity level, while Tom Breese's 644-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 056 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -24 |
Brendan Allen extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tom Breese is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 047 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.