December 2, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Dong Hyun Ma |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 948 | 985 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +37 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Dong Hyun Ma |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 959 | 982 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Dong Hyun Ma |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 932 | 976 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Dong Hyun Ma earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Dong Hyun Ma |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 32 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 98 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 874 | 842 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Dong Hyun Ma edged the striking exchanges with 98 vs 70 total strikes. Dong Hyun Ma capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Dong Hyun Ma |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:41 | 9:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 888 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -111 | +111 |
Dong Hyun Ma dominated Brendan O'Reilly on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 9:55 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Dong Hyun Ma |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 259 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 969 | 989 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Dong Hyun Ma demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Dong Hyun Ma capitalized on this activity level, while Brendan O'Reilly's 259-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Dong Hyun Ma |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 962 | 985 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +25 |
Dong Hyun Ma started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brendan O'Reilly is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Dong Hyun Ma |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 959 | 982 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.