May 8, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Vik Grujic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 007 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -32 |
Brendan O'Reilly overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Vik Grujic.
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Vik Grujic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Vik Grujic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 006 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Brendan O'Reilly earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Vik Grujic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 59 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 85 | 106 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 83 | 103 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 988 | 894 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Vik Grujic controlled the striking through superior volume (103 vs 83 total strikes), significant strike advantage (59 vs 42). However, since Vik Grujic lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Brendan O'Reilly's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Vik Grujic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:38 | 5:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 024 | 821 |
| ELO Change | +89 | -89 |
Brendan O'Reilly dominated Vik Grujic on the ground with 6 vs 1 takedowns, 7:38 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Vik Grujic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 259 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 009 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -23 |
Brendan O'Reilly demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Brendan O'Reilly capitalized on this activity level, while Vik Grujic's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Vik Grujic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Brendan O'Reilly started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vik Grujic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Vik Grujic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.