August 22, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Zhang Lipeng |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 970 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Zhang Lipeng |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Zhang Lipeng |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 959 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Zhang Lipeng earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Zhang Lipeng |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 50 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 74 | 130 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 970 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Zhang Lipeng dominated the striking exchanges with 130 vs 74 total strikes, 47.5% vs 30.0% accuracy. Zhang Lipeng capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Zhang Lipeng |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:16 | 8:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 935 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Zhang Lipeng controlled Brendan O'Reilly on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 8:03 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Zhang Lipeng |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +35 |
Zhang Lipeng demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Zhang Lipeng capitalized on this activity level, while Brendan O'Reilly's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Zhang Lipeng |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Zhang Lipeng extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brendan O'Reilly is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brendan O'Reilly | Zhang Lipeng |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.