September 20, 2013
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brendan Schaub | Matt Mitrione |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 132 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -20 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brendan Schaub | Matt Mitrione |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brendan Schaub | Matt Mitrione |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:06 | 4:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 283 | 1 223 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -51 |
Brendan Schaub earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Brendan Schaub | Matt Mitrione |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 30 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 097 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Brendan Schaub slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 14 vs 7 significant strikes, 46.7% vs 63.6% accuracy. Brendan Schaub capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brendan Schaub | Matt Mitrione |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:53 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 181 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Brendan Schaub controlled Matt Mitrione on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:53 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Brendan Schaub | Matt Mitrione |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 162 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Brendan Schaub demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Brendan Schaub capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Mitrione's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brendan Schaub | Matt Mitrione |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 088 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -23 |
Brendan Schaub extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Mitrione is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brendan Schaub | Matt Mitrione |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.