October 13, 2023
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brendon Marotte | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 970 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Terrance McKinney's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Terrance McKinney for the expected result. Had Brendon Marotte pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brendon Marotte | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brendon Marotte | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:20 | 0:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 975 | 1 222 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +73 |
Terrance McKinney secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:20 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Brendon Marotte | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 886 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | -114 | +114 |
Terrance McKinney controlled the striking exchanges with 14 vs 1 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 100.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Terrance McKinney capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brendon Marotte | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 962 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Terrance McKinney landed 1 knockdown followed by 13 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Brendon Marotte | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 63 |
| Activity ELO | 987 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +38 |
Terrance McKinney demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Terrance McKinney capitalized on this activity level, while Brendon Marotte's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brendon Marotte | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Terrance McKinney extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brendon Marotte is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brendon Marotte | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.