Brendson Ribeiro vs Caio Machado

November 2, 2024

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

955
(+25)
Brendson Ribeiro
Winner: Brendson Ribeiro
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Brendson Ribeiro+25
Caio Machado-21
930
(-21)
Caio Machado

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Brendson Ribeiro: +35Caio Machado: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendson RibeiroCaio Machado
Total UFC Fights33
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO953930
ELO Change+35-23
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Brendson Ribeiro: +21Caio Machado: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendson RibeiroCaio Machado
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO980939
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Brendson Ribeiro: +10Caio Machado: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendson RibeiroCaio Machado
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO953928
ELO Change+10-10
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Brendson Ribeiro receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Brendson Ribeiro: +25Caio Machado: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendson RibeiroCaio Machado
Significant Strikes Landed4976
Significant Strikes Attempted131184
Total Strikes Landed4979
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO904918
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Caio Machado controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (79 vs 49 total strikes), significant strike advantage (76 vs 49). However, since Caio Machado lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Brendson Ribeiro's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Brendson Ribeiro: +25Caio Machado: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendson RibeiroCaio Machado
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:02
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO886903
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Brendson Ribeiro: +43Caio Machado: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendson RibeiroCaio Machado
Days Since Last Fight134190
Activity ELO1 002943
ELO Change+43-21
💡

What Happened

Brendson Ribeiro demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brendson Ribeiro capitalized on this activity level, while Caio Machado's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Brendson Ribeiro: +23Caio Machado: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendson RibeiroCaio Machado
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO982940
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Brendson Ribeiro started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Caio Machado is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Brendson Ribeiro: +21Caio Machado: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendson RibeiroCaio Machado
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO980939
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.