November 30, 2017
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brett Johns | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 099 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -33 |
Brett Johns overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Joe Soto.
| Metric | Brett Johns | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brett Johns | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:30 | 0:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 208 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +129 | -54 |
Brett Johns locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:30 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.
| Metric | Brett Johns | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 0 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 088 | 872 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 1 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Brett Johns | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 226 | 1 177 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Brett Johns | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 139 | 265 |
| Activity ELO | 1 097 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -24 |
Brett Johns demonstrated solid activity levels with 139 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brett Johns capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Soto's 265-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brett Johns | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 074 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Brett Johns extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Soto is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brett Johns | Joe Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.