July 17, 2020
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brett Johns | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 101 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Brett Johns's 2-fight experience advantage (7 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brett Johns for the expected result. Had Montel Jackson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brett Johns | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brett Johns | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 218 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Brett Johns earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brett Johns | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 80 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 007 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Montel Jackson controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (80 vs 30 total strikes), significant strike advantage (26 vs 11), 1 knockdown. However, since Montel Jackson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Brett Johns's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Brett Johns | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 8 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 19 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:42 | 2:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 314 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Brett Johns controlled Montel Jackson on the ground with 8 vs 2 takedowns, 8:42 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brett Johns | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 1 117 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -23 |
Brett Johns demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brett Johns capitalized on this activity level, while Montel Jackson's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brett Johns | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 080 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Brett Johns extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Montel Jackson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brett Johns | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

