August 3, 2018
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brett Johns | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 039 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Pedro Munhoz's 5-fight experience advantage (10 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Pedro Munhoz for the expected result. Had Brett Johns pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brett Johns | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brett Johns | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 140 | 1 318 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Pedro Munhoz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brett Johns | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 73 | 117 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 168 | 245 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 82 | 160 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 3 |
| Striking ELO | 938 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | -96 | +96 |
Pedro Munhoz dominated the striking exchanges with 160 vs 82 total strikes, 117 vs 73 significant strikes, including 3 devastating knockdowns. Pedro Munhoz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brett Johns | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:06 | 4:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 21 |
| Ground ELO | 1 110 | 1 278 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Pedro Munhoz controlled Brett Johns on the ground with 4:31 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brett Johns | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 062 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +32 |
Pedro Munhoz demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Pedro Munhoz capitalized on this activity level, while Brett Johns's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brett Johns | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 034 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Pedro Munhoz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brett Johns is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brett Johns | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.