February 17, 2018
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Camozzi | Geoff Neal |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 892 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Geoff Neal overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Brian Camozzi.
| Metric | Brian Camozzi | Geoff Neal |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 943 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Camozzi | Geoff Neal |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:48 | 2:48 |
| Win Type ELO | 907 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +61 |
Geoff Neal earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:48, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Brian Camozzi | Geoff Neal |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 31 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 820 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Geoff Neal slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 14 vs 7 significant strikes, 45.2% vs 24.1% accuracy. Geoff Neal capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Camozzi | Geoff Neal |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 857 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Geoff Neal edged out Brian Camozzi on the ground with 1:07 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Brian Camozzi | Geoff Neal |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 226 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 947 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Geoff Neal demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Geoff Neal capitalized on this activity level, while Brian Camozzi's 226-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Camozzi | Geoff Neal |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 945 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Geoff Neal started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brian Camozzi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Camozzi | Geoff Neal |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 943 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.