December 8, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Camozzi | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 975 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Randy Brown's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Randy Brown for the expected result. Had Brian Camozzi pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brian Camozzi | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Camozzi | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:25 | 1:25 |
| Win Type ELO | 966 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +70 |
Randy Brown gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Camozzi | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 82 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 887 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -113 | +113 |
Randy Brown controlled the striking exchanges with 50 vs 13 total strikes, 42 vs 11 significant strikes, 51.2% vs 31.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Randy Brown capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Camozzi | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:30 | 3:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 928 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Randy Brown landed 1 knockdown followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Brian Camozzi | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 981 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +56 |
Randy Brown demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Randy Brown capitalized on this activity level, while Brian Camozzi's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Camozzi | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Randy Brown extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brian Camozzi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Camozzi | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

