December 9, 2011
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | Claude Patrick |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 199 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | Claude Patrick |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 067 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | Claude Patrick |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 198 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Brian Ebersole receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | Claude Patrick |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 39 | 47 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 65 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 246 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Claude Patrick controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (28 vs 23). However, since Claude Patrick lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Brian Ebersole's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | Claude Patrick |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:59 | 1:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 258 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | +103 | -103 |
Brian Ebersole controlled Claude Patrick on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 8:59 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | Claude Patrick |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 119 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -22 |
Brian Ebersole demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brian Ebersole capitalized on this activity level, while Claude Patrick's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | Claude Patrick |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 082 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -22 |
Brian Ebersole extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Claude Patrick is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | Claude Patrick |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 066 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.