July 20, 2012
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | James Head |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 171 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +55 |
James Head overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Brian Ebersole.
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | James Head |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | James Head |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 222 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with James Head receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | James Head |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 35 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 88 | 83 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 230 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
James Head slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. James Head capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | James Head |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 15 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:54 | 3:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 283 | 901 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
James Head did not secure a significant ground advantage against Brian Ebersole on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:16 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | James Head |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 29 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 113 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +73 |
James Head demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, James Head capitalized on this activity level, while Brian Ebersole's 29-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | James Head |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 082 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +33 |
James Head extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brian Ebersole is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | James Head |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.