September 26, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 166 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -26 |
Brian Ebersole overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran John Howard.
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 190 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Brian Ebersole receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 94 | 66 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 104 | 97 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 183 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Brian Ebersole slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 49 vs 42 significant strikes, 52.1% vs 63.6% accuracy. Brian Ebersole capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:17 | 4:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 204 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Brian Ebersole edged out John Howard on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:17 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 315 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 119 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Brian Ebersole demonstrated standard activity with 315 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Brian Ebersole capitalized on this activity level, while John Howard's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 086 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Brian Ebersole started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Howard is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Ebersole | John Howard |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 059 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.