September 14, 2010
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Foster | Forrest Petz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 014 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -31 |
Brian Foster overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Forrest Petz.
| Metric | Brian Foster | Forrest Petz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Foster | Forrest Petz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:07 | 1:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 126 | 953 |
| ELO Change | +86 | -36 |
Brian Foster earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:07, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Brian Foster | Forrest Petz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 7 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 168 | 833 |
| ELO Change | +119 | -119 |
Brian Foster controlled the striking exchanges with 17 vs 1 significant strikes, 63.0% vs 14.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Brian Foster capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Foster | Forrest Petz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:10 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 954 | 760 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Brian Foster landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Brian Foster | Forrest Petz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 207 | 74 |
| Activity ELO | 1 068 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Brian Foster demonstrated standard activity with 207 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Brian Foster capitalized on this activity level, while Forrest Petz's 74-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Foster | Forrest Petz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Brian Foster started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Forrest Petz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Foster | Forrest Petz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.