June 22, 2007
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Geraghty | Matt Wiman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 965 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brian Geraghty | Matt Wiman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Geraghty | Matt Wiman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:09 | 2:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 954 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +104 |
Matt Wiman earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:09, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Brian Geraghty | Matt Wiman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 33 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 859 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -141 | +141 |
Matt Wiman controlled the striking exchanges with 21 vs 1 significant strikes, 63.6% vs 25.0% accuracy. Matt Wiman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Geraghty | Matt Wiman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 20 |
| Ground ELO | 934 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +66 |
Matt Wiman controlled Brian Geraghty on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:44 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Geraghty | Matt Wiman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 392 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +20 |
Matt Wiman demonstrated extended layoff with 392 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Matt Wiman capitalized on this activity level, while Brian Geraghty's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Geraghty | Matt Wiman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Matt Wiman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brian Geraghty is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Geraghty | Matt Wiman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.