November 5, 2013
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Houston | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brian Houston | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Houston | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:48 | 0:48 |
| Win Type ELO | 967 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +72 |
Derek Brunson locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:48 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.
| Metric | Brian Houston | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 934 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +66 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 1 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Brian Houston | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 968 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Derek Brunson edged out Brian Houston on the ground with 0:30 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Brian Houston | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 312 |
| Activity ELO | 981 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Derek Brunson demonstrated standard activity with 312 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Derek Brunson capitalized on this activity level, while Brian Houston's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Houston | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Derek Brunson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brian Houston is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Houston | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.