January 14, 2014
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Houston | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 958 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brian Houston | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 959 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Houston | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 957 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Trevor Smith receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Brian Houston | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 57 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 83 | 122 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 902 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Trevor Smith controlled the striking exchanges with 61 vs 34 total strikes, 57 vs 30 significant strikes, 46.7% vs 36.1% accuracy. Trevor Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Houston | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:29 | 1:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 912 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Trevor Smith controlled Brian Houston on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:32 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Houston | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 70 | 173 |
| Activity ELO | 960 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +36 |
Trevor Smith demonstrated solid activity levels with 173 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Trevor Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Brian Houston's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Houston | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 960 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Trevor Smith started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brian Houston is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Houston | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 959 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.