December 6, 1996
Open Weight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Johnston | Ken Shamrock |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 985 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Ken Shamrock's 5-fight experience advantage (10 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ken Shamrock for the expected result. Had Brian Johnston pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brian Johnston | Ken Shamrock |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 996 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Johnston | Ken Shamrock |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 5:48 | 5:48 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 125 | 1 335 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +43 |
Ken Shamrock earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 5:48, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Brian Johnston | Ken Shamrock |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 39 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 12 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 033 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | -82 | +82 |
Ken Shamrock dominated the striking exchanges with 70 vs 12 total strikes, 22 vs 1 significant strikes, 56.4% vs 33.3% accuracy. Ken Shamrock capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Johnston | Ken Shamrock |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 22 |
| Ground ELO | 977 | 1 291 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Ken Shamrock dominated Brian Johnston on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 22 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Brian Johnston | Ken Shamrock |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 78 | 204 |
| Activity ELO | 1 068 | 1 346 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +10 |
Ken Shamrock demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ken Shamrock capitalized on this activity level, while Brian Johnston's 78-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Johnston | Ken Shamrock |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 997 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +18 |
Ken Shamrock started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brian Johnston is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Johnston | Ken Shamrock |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 991 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.