December 15, 2023
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Cody Garbrandt |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 036 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +28 |
Cody Garbrandt overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (14 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Brian Kelleher.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Cody Garbrandt |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Cody Garbrandt |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:42 | 3:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 083 | 1 337 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +46 |
Cody Garbrandt earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:42, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Cody Garbrandt |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 911 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Cody Garbrandt controlled the striking exchanges with 48.8% vs 68.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Cody Garbrandt capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Cody Garbrandt |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:36 | 0:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 941 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
Cody Garbrandt did not secure a significant ground advantage against Brian Kelleher on the ground with 0:19 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Cody Garbrandt |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 540 | 287 |
| Activity ELO | 1 096 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Cody Garbrandt demonstrated standard activity with 287 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Cody Garbrandt capitalized on this activity level, while Brian Kelleher's 540-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Cody Garbrandt |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +19 |
Cody Garbrandt extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brian Kelleher is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Cody Garbrandt |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.