August 20, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Domingo Pilarte |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 122 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Brian Kelleher's 9-fight experience advantage (12 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brian Kelleher for the expected result. Had Domingo Pilarte pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Domingo Pilarte |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 050 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Domingo Pilarte |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 195 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Brian Kelleher earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Domingo Pilarte |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 40 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 236 | 117 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 112 | 918 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Brian Kelleher dominated the striking exchanges with 236 vs 117 total strikes, 28 vs 3 significant strikes, 70.0% vs 27.3% accuracy. Brian Kelleher capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Domingo Pilarte |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 12:49 | 1:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 27 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 108 | 851 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Brian Kelleher dominated Domingo Pilarte on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 12:49 of control time, 27 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Domingo Pilarte |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 560 |
| Activity ELO | 1 145 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -12 |
Brian Kelleher demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Brian Kelleher capitalized on this activity level, while Domingo Pilarte's 560-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Domingo Pilarte |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 070 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -17 |
Brian Kelleher started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Domingo Pilarte is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Domingo Pilarte |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 048 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.