Brian Kelleher vs Kevin Croom

January 14, 2022

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1132
(+26)
Brian Kelleher
Winner: Brian Kelleher
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Brian Kelleher+26
Kevin Croom-24
950
(-24)
Kevin Croom

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Kelleher: +18Kevin Croom: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian KelleherKevin Croom
Total UFC Fights133
Experience Gap10-10
Experience ELO1 140949
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

Brian Kelleher's 10-fight experience advantage (13 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brian Kelleher for the expected result. Had Kevin Croom pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Kelleher: +17Kevin Croom: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian KelleherKevin Croom
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 067965
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Kelleher: +18Kevin Croom: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian KelleherKevin Croom
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 213956
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

Brian Kelleher earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Kelleher: +32Kevin Croom: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian KelleherKevin Croom
Significant Strikes Landed3860
Significant Strikes Attempted77174
Total Strikes Landed6783
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 144934
ELO Change+32-32
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What Happened

Kevin Croom controlled the striking through superior volume (83 vs 67 total strikes), significant strike advantage (60 vs 38), superior accuracy (34.5% vs 49.4%). However, since Kevin Croom lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Brian Kelleher's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Kelleher: +58Kevin Croom: -58

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian KelleherKevin Croom
Takedowns Landed60
Takedowns Attempted81
Ground Control Time6:260:47
Ground Strikes Landed100
Ground ELO1 166888
ELO Change+58-58
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What Happened

Brian Kelleher landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Kelleher: +24Kevin Croom: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian KelleherKevin Croom
Days Since Last Fight148322
Activity ELO1 169976
ELO Change+24-12
💡

What Happened

Brian Kelleher demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brian Kelleher capitalized on this activity level, while Kevin Croom's 322-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Kelleher: +19Kevin Croom: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian KelleherKevin Croom
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 089968
ELO Change+19-16
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What Happened

Brian Kelleher extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kevin Croom is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Kelleher: +17Kevin Croom: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian KelleherKevin Croom
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 065965
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.