June 24, 2022
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 061 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +59 |
Mario Bautista overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Brian Kelleher.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:27 | 2:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 104 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +88 |
Mario Bautista earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:27, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 969 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Mario Bautista slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 35.3% vs 66.7% accuracy. Mario Bautista capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 952 | 1 214 |
| ELO Change | -156 | +156 |
Mario Bautista dominated Brian Kelleher on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:28 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 113 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +55 |
Mario Bautista demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mario Bautista capitalized on this activity level, while Brian Kelleher's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 041 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Mario Bautista extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brian Kelleher is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

