January 17, 2020
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 114 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Brian Kelleher's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brian Kelleher for the expected result. Had Ode Osbourne pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 033 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:49 | 2:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 174 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -27 |
Brian Kelleher earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:49, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 061 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Brian Kelleher slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Brian Kelleher capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:58 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 024 | 929 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -71 |
Brian Kelleher controlled Ode Osbourne on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:58 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 385 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 095 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -16 |
Brian Kelleher demonstrated extended layoff with 385 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Brian Kelleher capitalized on this activity level, while Ode Osbourne's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Brian Kelleher started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ode Osbourne is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Ode Osbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 030 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.