Brian Kelleher vs Ray Rodriguez

September 4, 2020

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1108
(+27)
Brian Kelleher
Winner: Brian Kelleher
Submission
Round 1 • 0:39

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Brian Kelleher+27
Ray Rodriguez-21
979
(-21)
Ray Rodriguez

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Kelleher: +22Ray Rodriguez: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian KelleherRay Rodriguez
Total UFC Fights101
Experience Gap9-9
Experience ELO1 132978
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

Brian Kelleher's 9-fight experience advantage (10 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brian Kelleher for the expected result. Had Ray Rodriguez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Kelleher: +19Ray Rodriguez: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian KelleherRay Rodriguez
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 052981
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Kelleher: +48Ray Rodriguez: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian KelleherRay Rodriguez
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:390:39
Win Type ELO1 224978
ELO Change+48-22
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What Happened

Brian Kelleher locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:39 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Kelleher: +15Ray Rodriguez: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian KelleherRay Rodriguez
Significant Strikes Landed11
Significant Strikes Attempted35
Total Strikes Landed11
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 115985
ELO Change+15-15
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What Happened

Virtually no striking took place with only 2 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Kelleher: +38Ray Rodriguez: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian KelleherRay Rodriguez
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:000:12
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 068962
ELO Change+38-38
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Kelleher: +35Ray Rodriguez: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian KelleherRay Rodriguez
Days Since Last Fight91N/A
Activity ELO1 152986
ELO Change+35-14
💡

What Happened

Brian Kelleher demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brian Kelleher capitalized on this activity level, while Ray Rodriguez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Kelleher: +20Ray Rodriguez: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian KelleherRay Rodriguez
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 072982
ELO Change+20-18
💡

What Happened

Brian Kelleher started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ray Rodriguez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Kelleher: +19Ray Rodriguez: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian KelleherRay Rodriguez
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 050981
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.