February 23, 2018
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 163 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -32 |
Brian Kelleher overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Renan Barao.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 052 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 215 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Brian Kelleher earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 94 | 116 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 203 | 228 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 145 | 134 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 138 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Renan Barao controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (116 vs 94). However, since Renan Barao lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Brian Kelleher's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:26 | 2:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 135 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Brian Kelleher edged out Renan Barao on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:26 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | 211 |
| Activity ELO | 1 120 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -28 |
Brian Kelleher demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brian Kelleher capitalized on this activity level, while Renan Barao's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 065 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -27 |
Brian Kelleher extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Renan Barao is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Kelleher | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 050 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.