Brian Melancon vs Kelvin Gastelum

August 27, 2013

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1022
(-48)
Brian Melancon
Winner: Kelvin Gastelum
Submission
Round 1 • 2:26

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Brian Melancon-48
Kelvin Gastelum+58
1082
(+58)
Kelvin Gastelum

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Melancon: -25Kelvin Gastelum: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian MelanconKelvin Gastelum
Total UFC Fights22
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 0711 059
ELO Change-25+38
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Melancon: -21Kelvin Gastelum: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian MelanconKelvin Gastelum
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0031 042
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Melancon: -56Kelvin Gastelum: +98

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian MelanconKelvin Gastelum
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:262:26
Win Type ELO1 0761 109
ELO Change-56+98
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What Happened

Kelvin Gastelum earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:26, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Melancon: -92Kelvin Gastelum: +92

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian MelanconKelvin Gastelum
Significant Strikes Landed714
Significant Strikes Attempted2123
Total Strikes Landed914
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0561 113
ELO Change-92+92
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What Happened

Kelvin Gastelum controlled the striking exchanges with 14 vs 7 significant strikes, 60.9% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Kelvin Gastelum capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Melancon: -131Kelvin Gastelum: +131

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian MelanconKelvin Gastelum
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:000:30
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO9531 181
ELO Change-131+131
💡

What Happened

Kelvin Gastelum dominated Brian Melancon on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:30 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Melancon: -21Kelvin Gastelum: +43

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian MelanconKelvin Gastelum
Days Since Last Fight53137
Activity ELO1 0071 064
ELO Change-21+43
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What Happened

Kelvin Gastelum demonstrated solid activity levels with 137 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kelvin Gastelum capitalized on this activity level, while Brian Melancon's 53-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Melancon: -21Kelvin Gastelum: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian MelanconKelvin Gastelum
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0061 048
ELO Change-21+25
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What Happened

Kelvin Gastelum extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brian Melancon is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Melancon: -21Kelvin Gastelum: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian MelanconKelvin Gastelum
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0031 042
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.