June 3, 2016
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 23 |
| Experience Gap | -19 | 19 |
| Experience ELO | 1 189 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -28 |
Brian Ortega overcame a 19-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 23 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Clay Guida.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 070 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:40 | 4:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 291 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -37 |
Brian Ortega gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 62 | 62 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 189 | 192 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 62 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 217 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -81 |
Clay Guida controlled the striking through 1 knockdown. However, since Clay Guida lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Brian Ortega's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 178 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -73 |
Brian Ortega landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 1 113 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -28 |
Brian Ortega demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brian Ortega capitalized on this activity level, while Clay Guida's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 088 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -23 |
Brian Ortega extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Clay Guida is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 070 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.