Brian Ortega vs Cub Swanson

December 8, 2017

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1225
(+47)
Brian Ortega
Winner: Brian Ortega
Submission
Round 2 • 3:22

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Brian Ortega+47
Cub Swanson-33
1230
(-33)
Cub Swanson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Ortega: +55Cub Swanson: -36

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian OrtegaCub Swanson
Total UFC Fights614
Experience Gap-88
Experience ELO1 2751 231
ELO Change+55-36
💡

What Happened

Brian Ortega overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cub Swanson.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Ortega: +24Cub Swanson: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian OrtegaCub Swanson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1151 122
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Ortega: +83Cub Swanson: -54

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian OrtegaCub Swanson
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:223:22
Win Type ELO1 4031 366
ELO Change+83-54
💡

What Happened

Brian Ortega earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:22, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Cub Swanson was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Ortega: +29Cub Swanson: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian OrtegaCub Swanson
Significant Strikes Landed2460
Significant Strikes Attempted7097
Total Strikes Landed2460
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2611 350
ELO Change+29-29
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (60 vs 24 total strikes), significant strike advantage (60 vs 24), superior accuracy (61.9% vs 34.3%). However, since Cub Swanson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Brian Ortega's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Ortega: +44Cub Swanson: -44

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian OrtegaCub Swanson
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:300:14
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 2681 189
ELO Change+44-44
💡

What Happened

Brian Ortega edged out Cub Swanson on the ground with 0:30 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Ortega: +62Cub Swanson: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian OrtegaCub Swanson
Days Since Last Fight134232
Activity ELO1 1921 278
ELO Change+62-31
💡

What Happened

Brian Ortega demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brian Ortega capitalized on this activity level, while Cub Swanson's 232-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Ortega: +51Cub Swanson: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian OrtegaCub Swanson
Win Streak50
Win Streak ELO1 1681 185
ELO Change+51-27
💡

What Happened

Brian Ortega continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Cub Swanson's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Ortega: +24Cub Swanson: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian OrtegaCub Swanson
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1151 117
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.