January 1, 2016
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 125 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -33 |
Brian Ortega overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Diego Brandao.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 049 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:37 | 1:37 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 216 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -52 |
Brian Ortega earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:37, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Diego Brandao was submitted.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 56 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 110 | 108 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 136 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Diego Brandao controlled the striking through superior volume (61 vs 33 total strikes), significant strike advantage (56 vs 29), superior accuracy (51.9% vs 26.4%). However, since Diego Brandao lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Brian Ortega's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:43 | 0:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 105 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Brian Ortega edged out Diego Brandao on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:43 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | 99 |
| Activity ELO | 1 064 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -27 |
Brian Ortega demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Brian Ortega capitalized on this activity level, while Diego Brandao's 99-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 058 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -24 |
Brian Ortega extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Diego Brandao is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 049 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.