March 2, 2018
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 23 |
| Experience Gap | -16 | 16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 353 | 1 309 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -38 |
Brian Ortega overcame a 16-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 23 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Frankie Edgar.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 146 | 1 270 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:44 | 4:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 532 | 1 502 |
| ELO Change | +129 | -60 |
Brian Ortega earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:44, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 76 | 77 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 406 | 1 437 |
| ELO Change | +145 | -145 |
Brian Ortega controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Brian Ortega capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 363 | 1 553 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -95 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 84 | 295 |
| Activity ELO | 1 287 | 1 354 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -32 |
Brian Ortega demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Brian Ortega capitalized on this activity level, while Frankie Edgar's 295-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 6 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 235 | 1 257 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -28 |
Brian Ortega continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Frankie Edgar's now at 0.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 142 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.