December 7, 2018
UFC Featherweight Title Bout
Title Fight
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -11 | 11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 324 | 1 409 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Max Holloway's 11-fight experience advantage (19 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Max Holloway for the expected result. Had Brian Ortega pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 136 | 1 380 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +30 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Max Holloway captured the UFC Featherweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 4 | 4 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 517 | 1 691 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Max Holloway gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 4, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 110 | 290 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 292 | 490 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 112 | 307 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 382 | 1 622 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Max Holloway dominated the striking exchanges with 307 vs 112 total strikes, 290 vs 110 significant strikes, 59.2% vs 37.7% accuracy. Max Holloway capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:25 | 0:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 343 | 1 531 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Max Holloway edged out Brian Ortega on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:16 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 280 | 371 |
| Activity ELO | 1 276 | 1 472 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +10 |
Max Holloway demonstrated extended layoff with 371 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Max Holloway capitalized on this activity level, while Brian Ortega's 280-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 13 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 229 | 1 587 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +52 |
Max Holloway extended his incredible 13-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while Brian Ortega is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 126 | 1 240 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.