Brian Ortega vs Renato Moicano

July 28, 2017

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1178
(+26)
Brian Ortega
Winner: Brian Ortega
Submission
Round 3 • 2:59

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Brian Ortega+26
Renato Moicano-24
1085
(-24)
Renato Moicano

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Ortega: +31Renato Moicano: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian OrtegaRenato Moicano
Total UFC Fights54
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO1 2201 149
ELO Change+31-31
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Ortega: +21Renato Moicano: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian OrtegaRenato Moicano
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0911 043
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Ortega: +29Renato Moicano: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian OrtegaRenato Moicano
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round33
Time of Finish2:592:59
Win Type ELO1 3201 063
ELO Change+29-19
💡

What Happened

Brian Ortega earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 2:59, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Renato Moicano was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Ortega: +15Renato Moicano: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian OrtegaRenato Moicano
Significant Strikes Landed65109
Significant Strikes Attempted220252
Total Strikes Landed65111
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2321 097
ELO Change+15-15
💡

What Happened

Renato Moicano controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (111 vs 65 total strikes), significant strike advantage (109 vs 65), superior accuracy (43.3% vs 29.5%). However, since Renato Moicano lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Brian Ortega's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Ortega: +46Renato Moicano: -46

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian OrtegaRenato Moicano
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted22
Ground Control Time0:000:20
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 2241 167
ELO Change+46-46
💡

What Happened

Brian Ortega edged out Renato Moicano on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Ortega: +17Renato Moicano: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian OrtegaRenato Moicano
Days Since Last Fight420105
Activity ELO1 1301 053
ELO Change+17-19
💡

What Happened

Brian Ortega demonstrated extended layoff with 420 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Brian Ortega capitalized on this activity level, while Renato Moicano's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Ortega: +29Renato Moicano: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian OrtegaRenato Moicano
Win Streak40
Win Streak ELO1 1171 061
ELO Change+29-21
💡

What Happened

Brian Ortega extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Renato Moicano is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Brian Ortega: +21Renato Moicano: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBrian OrtegaRenato Moicano
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0911 043
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.