June 5, 2015
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -14 | 14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 077 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -40 |
Brian Ortega overcame a 14-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Thiago Tavares.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 026 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:10 | 4:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 138 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | +138 | -69 |
Brian Ortega gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 41 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 101 | 94 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 114 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 116 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +116 | -116 |
Thiago Tavares controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (114 vs 56 total strikes). However, since Thiago Tavares lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Brian Ortega's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:53 | 8:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 1 037 | 1 283 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Brian Ortega landed 1 knockdown followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 315 | 294 |
| Activity ELO | 1 030 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Brian Ortega demonstrated standard activity with 315 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Brian Ortega capitalized on this activity level, while Thiago Tavares's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 029 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -27 |
Brian Ortega started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thiago Tavares is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 026 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.