July 15, 2022
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 298 | 1 295 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 124 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:11 | 4:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 461 | 1 533 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +114 |
Yair Rodriguez earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:11, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 46 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 48 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 421 | 1 497 |
| ELO Change | -74 | +74 |
Yair Rodriguez edged the striking exchanges with 48 vs 26 total strikes, 50.0% vs 62.9% accuracy. Yair Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:24 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 350 | 1 273 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Yair Rodriguez did not secure a significant ground advantage against Brian Ortega on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 294 | 245 |
| Activity ELO | 1 257 | 1 395 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +19 |
Yair Rodriguez demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Yair Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Brian Ortega's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 214 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Yair Rodriguez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brian Ortega is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 107 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.