February 23, 2024
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 338 | 1 282 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -33 |
Brian Ortega overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Yair Rodriguez.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 148 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:58 | 0:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 540 | 1 498 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -53 |
Brian Ortega earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 0:58, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Yair Rodriguez was submitted.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 73 | 115 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 447 | 1 476 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Yair Rodriguez controlled the striking through superior volume (64 vs 47 total strikes), significant strike advantage (55 vs 28), 1 knockdown. However, since Yair Rodriguez lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Brian Ortega's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:21 | 1:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 1 428 | 1 200 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -78 |
Brian Ortega dominated Yair Rodriguez on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 5:21 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 589 | 232 |
| Activity ELO | 1 283 | 1 367 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -29 |
Brian Ortega demonstrated extended layoff with 589 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Brian Ortega capitalized on this activity level, while Yair Rodriguez's 232-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 239 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Brian Ortega started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yair Rodriguez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Ortega | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 131 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.