May 27, 2011
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Stann | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 093 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Brian Stann's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brian Stann for the expected result. Had Jorge Santiago pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brian Stann | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Stann | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:29 | 4:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 262 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -19 |
Brian Stann gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Stann | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 99 | 43 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 77 | 16 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 344 | 853 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Brian Stann dominated the striking exchanges with 77 vs 16 total strikes, 47 vs 14 significant strikes, 47.5% vs 32.6% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Brian Stann capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Stann | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:42 | 0:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 088 | 899 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Brian Stann controlled Jorge Santiago on the ground with 1:42 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Stann | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 1 627 |
| Activity ELO | 1 166 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -12 |
Brian Stann demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brian Stann capitalized on this activity level, while Jorge Santiago's 1627-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Stann | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 082 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -16 |
Brian Stann extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jorge Santiago is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Stann | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 064 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.