July 31, 2010
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brian Stann | Mike Massenzio |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 999 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Brian Stann's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brian Stann for the expected result. Had Mike Massenzio pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brian Stann | Mike Massenzio |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brian Stann | Mike Massenzio |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:10 | 3:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 081 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -49 |
Brian Stann earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:10, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Mike Massenzio was submitted.
| Metric | Brian Stann | Mike Massenzio |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 72 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 119 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 017 | 867 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Brian Stann dominated the striking exchanges with 119 vs 26 total strikes, 43 vs 5 significant strikes, 59.7% vs 45.5% accuracy. Brian Stann capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brian Stann | Mike Massenzio |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:18 | 5:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 31 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 978 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Brian Stann controlled Mike Massenzio on the ground with 0 takedowns, 5:18 of control time, 31 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Brian Stann | Mike Massenzio |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 582 |
| Activity ELO | 1 085 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -18 |
Brian Stann demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brian Stann capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Massenzio's 582-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brian Stann | Mike Massenzio |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Brian Stann started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Massenzio is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brian Stann | Mike Massenzio |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

