June 19, 2020
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brianna Fortino | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 045 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Tecia Pennington's 10-fight experience advantage (12 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tecia Pennington for the expected result. Had Brianna Fortino pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brianna Fortino | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brianna Fortino | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 007 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Tecia Pennington earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brianna Fortino | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 74 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 68 | 160 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 111 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 009 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Tecia Pennington dominated the striking exchanges with 111 vs 37 total strikes, 74 vs 34 significant strikes. Tecia Pennington capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brianna Fortino | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:34 | 2:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 055 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Tecia Pennington did not secure a significant ground advantage against Brianna Fortino on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:09 of control time, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Brianna Fortino | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 343 | 315 |
| Activity ELO | 1 006 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Tecia Pennington demonstrated standard activity with 315 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Tecia Pennington capitalized on this activity level, while Brianna Fortino's 343-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brianna Fortino | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Tecia Pennington started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brianna Fortino is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brianna Fortino | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

