February 22, 2013
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brock Jardine | Kenny Robertson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 945 | 989 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brock Jardine | Kenny Robertson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 987 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brock Jardine | Kenny Robertson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:57 | 2:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 936 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +79 |
Kenny Robertson earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:57, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Brock Jardine | Kenny Robertson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 870 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -109 | +109 |
Kenny Robertson edged the striking exchanges with 27 vs 1 total strikes, 9 vs 1 significant strikes, 69.2% vs 33.3% accuracy. Kenny Robertson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brock Jardine | Kenny Robertson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 820 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -134 | +134 |
Kenny Robertson dominated Brock Jardine on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:35 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Brock Jardine | Kenny Robertson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 247 | 228 |
| Activity ELO | 969 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Kenny Robertson demonstrated standard activity with 228 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Kenny Robertson capitalized on this activity level, while Brock Jardine's 247-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brock Jardine | Kenny Robertson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 965 | 991 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Kenny Robertson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brock Jardine is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brock Jardine | Kenny Robertson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 987 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.