Brock Larson vs Jesse Sanders

March 31, 2009

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1056
(+53)
Brock Larson
Winner: Brock Larson
Submission
Round 1 • 2:01

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Brock Larson+53
Jesse Sanders-49
951
(-49)
Jesse Sanders

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Brock Larson: +30Jesse Sanders: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricBrock LarsonJesse Sanders
Total UFC Fights31
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 042970
ELO Change+30-30
💡

What Happened

Brock Larson's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brock Larson for the expected result. Had Jesse Sanders pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Brock Larson: +21Jesse Sanders: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBrock LarsonJesse Sanders
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 022979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Brock Larson: +72Jesse Sanders: -41

Performance Statistics

MetricBrock LarsonJesse Sanders
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:012:01
Win Type ELO1 077959
ELO Change+72-41
💡

What Happened

Brock Larson earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Brock Larson: +128Jesse Sanders: -128

Performance Statistics

MetricBrock LarsonJesse Sanders
Significant Strikes Landed130
Significant Strikes Attempted203
Total Strikes Landed300
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 100872
ELO Change+128-128
💡

What Happened

Brock Larson controlled the striking exchanges with 30 vs 0 total strikes, 13 vs 0 significant strikes, 65.0% vs 0.0% accuracy. Brock Larson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Brock Larson: +113Jesse Sanders: -113

Performance Statistics

MetricBrock LarsonJesse Sanders
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time1:270:00
Ground Strikes Landed130
Ground ELO1 142887
ELO Change+113-113
💡

What Happened

Brock Larson dominated Jesse Sanders on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:27 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Brock Larson: +19Jesse Sanders: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBrock LarsonJesse Sanders
Days Since Last Fight840N/A
Activity ELO1 018979
ELO Change+19-21
💡

What Happened

Brock Larson demonstrated extended layoff with 840 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Brock Larson capitalized on this activity level, while Jesse Sanders's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Brock Larson: +25Jesse Sanders: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBrock LarsonJesse Sanders
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 028979
ELO Change+25-21
💡

What Happened

Brock Larson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jesse Sanders is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Brock Larson: +21Jesse Sanders: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBrock LarsonJesse Sanders
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 022979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.