October 2, 2005
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brock Larson | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brock Larson | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brock Larson | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Jon Fitch earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brock Larson | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 49 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 146 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 943 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Jon Fitch dominated the striking exchanges with 146 vs 19 total strikes, 25 vs 14 significant strikes, 51.0% vs 70.0% accuracy. Jon Fitch capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brock Larson | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:56 | 10:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 16 |
| Ground ELO | 901 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -99 | +99 |
Jon Fitch dominated Brock Larson on the ground with 5 vs 1 takedowns, 10:09 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brock Larson | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Jon Fitch demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Jon Fitch capitalized on this activity level, while Brock Larson's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brock Larson | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Jon Fitch started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brock Larson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brock Larson | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.