May 22, 2009
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brock Larson | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 070 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Brock Larson's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brock Larson for the expected result. Had Mike Pyle pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brock Larson | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brock Larson | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:06 | 3:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 131 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -33 |
Brock Larson earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Brock Larson | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 143 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Brock Larson slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 40.0% vs 25.0% accuracy. Brock Larson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brock Larson | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:08 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 220 | 922 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -78 |
Brock Larson dominated Mike Pyle on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:08 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Brock Larson | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 52 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 118 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +100 | -20 |
Brock Larson demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 52 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Brock Larson capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Pyle's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brock Larson | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 053 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -19 |
Brock Larson extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Pyle is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brock Larson | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.