October 22, 2010
UFC Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 179 | 1 223 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 208 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +83 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Cain Velasquez captured the UFC Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:12 | 4:12 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 358 | 1 479 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +95 |
Cain Velasquez earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:12, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 67 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 305 | 1 618 |
| ELO Change | -137 | +137 |
Cain Velasquez dominated the striking exchanges with 62 vs 13 total strikes, 31 vs 9 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Cain Velasquez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:17 | 1:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 16 |
| Ground ELO | 1 277 | 1 398 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Cain Velasquez controlled Brock Lesnar on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:42 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 245 |
| Activity ELO | 1 147 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Cain Velasquez demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Cain Velasquez capitalized on this activity level, while Brock Lesnar's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 7 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 099 | 1 226 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +50 |
Cain Velasquez continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Brock Lesnar's now at 0.
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 072 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.