August 8, 2008
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Heath Herring |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 017 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -32 |
Brock Lesnar overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Heath Herring.
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Heath Herring |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 008 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Heath Herring |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 029 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Brock Lesnar earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Heath Herring |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 52 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 96 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 100 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +117 | -117 |
Brock Lesnar dominated the striking exchanges with 96 vs 41 total strikes, 45 vs 9 significant strikes, 86.5% vs 42.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Brock Lesnar capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Heath Herring |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:33 | 1:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 33 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 103 | 886 |
| ELO Change | +128 | -128 |
Brock Lesnar dominated Heath Herring on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 11:33 of control time, 33 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Heath Herring |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 019 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -25 |
Brock Lesnar demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Brock Lesnar capitalized on this activity level, while Heath Herring's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Heath Herring |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Brock Lesnar started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Heath Herring is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Heath Herring |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 006 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.