November 14, 2008
UFC Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -16 | 16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 119 | 1 188 |
| ELO Change | +102 | -49 |
Brock Lesnar overcame a 16-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Randy Couture.
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 120 | 1 335 |
| ELO Change | +112 | -37 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Brock Lesnar captured the UFC Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:07 | 3:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 190 | 1 407 |
| ELO Change | +161 | -78 |
Brock Lesnar gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 42 | 19 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 68 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 315 | 1 306 |
| ELO Change | +215 | -215 |
Brock Lesnar dominated the striking exchanges with 68 vs 17 total strikes, 31 vs 11 significant strikes, 73.8% vs 57.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Brock Lesnar capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:50 | 3:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 223 | 1 413 |
| ELO Change | +120 | -120 |
Brock Lesnar landed 1 knockdown followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 99 | 449 |
| Activity ELO | 1 112 | 1 335 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -37 |
Brock Lesnar demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brock Lesnar capitalized on this activity level, while Randy Couture's 449-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 049 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -33 |
Brock Lesnar extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Randy Couture is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brock Lesnar | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 1 339 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.