April 21, 2023
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brogan Walker | Iasmin Lucindo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 958 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brogan Walker | Iasmin Lucindo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brogan Walker | Iasmin Lucindo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 916 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Iasmin Lucindo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brogan Walker | Iasmin Lucindo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 145 | 118 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 57 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 896 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Iasmin Lucindo controlled the striking exchanges with 57 vs 31 total strikes, 53 vs 29 significant strikes, 44.9% vs 20.0% accuracy. Iasmin Lucindo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brogan Walker | Iasmin Lucindo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:04 | 0:46 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 859 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Iasmin Lucindo edged out Brogan Walker on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 0:46 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brogan Walker | Iasmin Lucindo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 259 | 252 |
| Activity ELO | 958 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Iasmin Lucindo demonstrated standard activity with 252 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Iasmin Lucindo capitalized on this activity level, while Brogan Walker's 259-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brogan Walker | Iasmin Lucindo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Iasmin Lucindo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brogan Walker is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brogan Walker | Iasmin Lucindo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.