February 14, 2020
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brok Weaver | Kazula Vargas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 059 | 907 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brok Weaver | Kazula Vargas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brok Weaver | Kazula Vargas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | DQ | DQ |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:02 | 4:02 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 009 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The fight concluded with Brok Weaver earning a DQ, with adjustments based on the nature of the result.
| Metric | Brok Weaver | Kazula Vargas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 019 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Kazula Vargas controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (50 vs 6 total strikes), significant strike advantage (15 vs 5). However, since Kazula Vargas lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Brok Weaver's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Brok Weaver | Kazula Vargas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 016 | 906 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Brok Weaver did not secure a significant ground advantage against Kazula Vargas on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Brok Weaver | Kazula Vargas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Brok Weaver demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Brok Weaver capitalized on this activity level, while Kazula Vargas's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brok Weaver | Kazula Vargas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Brok Weaver started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kazula Vargas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brok Weaver | Kazula Vargas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.